Estrela Amadora U23 vs Braga U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.2%
+5
1.2%
4-0
4.2%
+4
4.2%
3-0
11.7%
+3
11.7%
2-0
24.5%
+2
24.5%
1-0
34.2%
+1
34.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
23.8%
0
23.8%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-18%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
14 | 15 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 15 |
3º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 15 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Amadora U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
EST
2 - 2
BES
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
EST
0 - 0
VIZ
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
FAM
1 - 0
EST
41%
26%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
1 - 0
EST
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Braga U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
BES
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
GIL
36%
23%
41%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 0
LEX
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 3
GIL
40%
23%
37%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
VIZ
0 - 1
BRA
32%
25%
44%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |