CD Estradense vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Estradense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
POL
3 - 0
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
VIV
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
NOI
0 - 1
EST
25%
24%
52%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
RCV
42%
27%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 1
EST
59%
22%
20%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CHO
1 - 0
SIL
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
CHO
0 - 3
DEP
43%
25%
32%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ARN
2 - 2
CHO
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 0
ARZ
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
SOF
1 - 3
CHO
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |