Estoril vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
FCP
15%
22%
64%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
PAÇ
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
EST
1 - 3
RIO
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SCP
2 - 2
EST
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
EST
3 - 1
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
UNM
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PED
3 - 2
UNM
15%
20%
65%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
UNM
1 - 1
AVE
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TON
3 - 2
UNM
54%
26%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FEI
3 - 1
UNM
50%
28%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |