Estoril vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
40.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
RIO
2 - 1
EST
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 1
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2005 |
EST
2 - 1
VST
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
GFC
2 - 0
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
EST
2 - 0
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
UDL
0 - 1
FCP
23%
27%
50%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
RIO
2 - 0
UDL
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
UDL
1 - 2
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
UDL
0 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
VST
1 - 1
UDL
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |