Estoril vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
ACA
1 - 2
EST
61%
18%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
ATL
4 - 2
EST
63%
18%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
EST
0 - 1
LGC
61%
19%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
SLB
8 - 2
EST
84%
10%
6%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
EST
0 - 1
SLB
28%
20%
52%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
SPC
7 - 0
ATL
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
LGC
3 - 1
SPC
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
SPC
1 - 3
FCB
57%
20%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1952 |
SPC
2 - 2
SLB
25%
20%
56%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1952 |
SLB
7 - 0
SPC
86%
9%
5%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |