Estoril vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
EST
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
EST
1 - 2
VIZ
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SLB
2 - 1
EST
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
GFC
0 - 0
EST
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
GLA
3 - 1
SPB
36%
25%
39%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VIZ
0 - 1
SPB
14%
22%
64%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
SPB
1 - 0
GLA
55%
23%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
SPB
3 - 2
SLB
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
SPB
12%
20%
68%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |