Estoril vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
65.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
EST
0 - 2
BEL
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
EST
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
EST
2 - 0
SCP
17%
21%
62%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
EST
3 - 0
TON
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 1
EST
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FCP
5 - 0
RIO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
FCP
0 - 5
LIV
41%
24%
35%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 4
FCP
12%
21%
67%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
FCP
1 - 0
SCP
58%
21%
21%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FCP
3 - 1
SPB
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |