Estoril vs Benfica analysis

Estoril Benfica
74 ELO 88
4.5% Tilt -6.5%
459º General ELO ranking 109º
14º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
13.5%
Estoril
19.4%
Draw
67.2%
Benfica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
Estoril
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.2%
Win probability
Benfica
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Estoril
+5%
+15%
Benfica

ELO progression

Estoril
Benfica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Estoril
Estoril
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2021
POR
Portimonense
0 - 2
Estoril
EST
35%
28%
37%
73 69 4 0
17 Oct. 2021
FEL
Felgueiras 1932
0 - 1
Estoril
EST
9%
18%
73%
73 48 25 0
03 Oct. 2021
EST
Estoril
2 - 2
Gil Vicente
GFC
57%
24%
19%
73 69 4 0
27 Sep. 2021
BOA
Boavista
1 - 1
Estoril
EST
37%
29%
34%
73 73 0 0
19 Sep. 2021
EST
Estoril
0 - 1
Sporting CP
SCP
16%
22%
63%
73 86 13 0

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2021
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
3 - 3
Benfica
SLB
14%
21%
65%
89 77 12 0
24 Oct. 2021
VIZ
Vizela
0 - 1
Benfica
SLB
11%
18%
71%
88 67 21 +1
20 Oct. 2021
SLB
Benfica
0 - 4
Bayern München
BYM
9%
14%
78%
88 95 7 0
16 Oct. 2021
TRO
Trofense
1 - 2
Benfica
SLB
6%
17%
77%
88 47 41 0
03 Oct. 2021
SLB
Benfica
0 - 1
Portimonense
POR
79%
14%
7%
88 68 20 0