Estoril vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
POR
0 - 2
EST
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FEL
0 - 1
EST
9%
18%
73%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
EST
2 - 2
GFC
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
BOA
1 - 1
EST
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
EST
0 - 1
SCP
16%
22%
63%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
VIT
3 - 3
SLB
14%
21%
65%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VIZ
0 - 1
SLB
11%
18%
71%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
SLB
0 - 4
BYM
9%
14%
78%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
TRO
1 - 2
SLB
6%
17%
77%
|
88 | 47 | 41 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SLB
0 - 1
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |