Estoril U23 vs Estrela Amadora U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
3º
1º
9
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 19 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
FAM
2 - 3
EST
32%
25%
44%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
EST
3 - 3
BES
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 2
EST
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
EST
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
POR
4 - 0
EST
18%
21%
61%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Estrela Amadora U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
EST
3 - 1
GIL
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
SPO
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
POR
1 - 2
EST
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
EST
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
MAF
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |