Estoril U19 vs Alverca U19 analysis


38	ELO	37
-6.5%	Tilt	2.2%
7014º	General ELO ranking	6422º
159º	Country ELO ranking	137º
ELO win probability

40.3%

Estoril U19

22%

Draw

37.7%

Alverca U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

40.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%

22%

Draw

0-0

2.8%

1-1

9%

2-2

7.1%

3-3

2.5%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

0

22%

37.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-5%

-12%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

7º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

14

3º

7º

1

8º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

8º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	31	31	1º	100%
2º	27	27	2º	100%
3º	25	25	3º	100%
4º	23	23	4º	100%
5º	19	20	5º	100%
6º	15	16	6º	100%
7º	14	14	7º	100%
8º	1	1	8º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

	100%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Estoril U19

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Feb. 2023	FAM 3 - 0 EST 62% 22% 17%	37	46	9	0
28 Jan. 2023	EST 1 - 0 VIL 82% 12% 6%	37	22	15	0
21 Jan. 2023	FCA 1 - 0 EST 42% 22% 36%	38	37	1	-1
14 Jan. 2023	EST 3 - 2 NAC 73% 16% 11%	38	28	10	0
07 Jan. 2023	ACA 1 - 3 EST 47% 21% 32%	36	37	1	+2

Matches

Alverca U19

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Feb. 2023	FCA 0 - 3 BEN 9% 15% 76%	38	54	16	0
28 Jan. 2023	TOR 1 - 2 FCA 41% 22% 37%	38	36	2	0
21 Jan. 2023	FCA 1 - 0 EST 42% 22% 36%	37	38	1	+1
14 Jan. 2023	MAR 1 - 1 FCA 34% 21% 45%	37	31	6	0
07 Jan. 2023	FCA 2 - 2 SET 71% 17% 13%	37	28	9	0