Estonia U21 vs Lituania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
52.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
EST
0 - 4
CRO
5%
12%
83%
|
30 | 70 | 40 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
EST
0 - 5
AZE
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -3 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
GEO
4 - 1
EST
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
AZE
3 - 0
EST
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
FIN
1 - 0
EST
69%
19%
13%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lituania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
HUN
1 - 0
LTU
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
LTU
1 - 1
NIR
27%
27%
46%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
MLT
1 - 3
LTU
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
ESP
8 - 0
LTU
87%
10%
3%
|
42 | 86 | 44 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
LTU
0 - 2
SVK
8%
18%
74%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | -1 |