Estonia U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
48.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2008 |
LVA
2 - 1
EST
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
NED
3 - 0
EST
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 75 | 45 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
NOR
2 - 0
EST
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 70 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
SUI
5 - 0
EST
73%
17%
11%
|
30 | 65 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
EST
0 - 4
SUI
22%
22%
56%
|
30 | 65 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
BLR
2 - 0
LTU
74%
17%
10%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
FIN
2 - 1
LTU
57%
23%
21%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
LTU
0 - 3
DEN
15%
21%
65%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
LTU
0 - 1
FIN
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2007 |
SCO
3 - 0
LTU
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |