Estonia U21 vs Bielorrusia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
64.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
EST
0 - 1
TJK
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
EST
2 - 1
LVA
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
EST
0 - 3
FIN
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
SUI
3 - 0
EST
81%
14%
5%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
GEO
2 - 1
EST
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Bielorrusia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
BLR
3 - 0
LVA
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
ISR
2 - 0
BLR
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
BLR
1 - 0
SMR
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 22 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
GER
3 - 0
BLR
77%
16%
8%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
BLR
0 - 3
CYP
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |