Estonia U21 vs Azerbaijan U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
EST
1 - 0
LVA
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
LUX
0 - 6
EST
37%
23%
40%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
EST
1 - 4
FIN
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
IRL
5 - 0
EST
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
LTU
1 - 1
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2011 |
AZE
1 - 0
MDA
23%
25%
52%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
RUS
8 - 0
AZE
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 73 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
BLR
1 - 0
AZE
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
AZE
3 - 2
ALB
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
MDA
4 - 2
AZE
63%
22%
16%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |