Estonia U19 vs Lithuania U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
SUI
5 - 0
EST
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
CRO
3 - 0
EST
75%
17%
9%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2009 |
EST
1 - 5
CZE
8%
17%
75%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
EST
0 - 3
ESP
4%
13%
82%
|
37 | 74 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
EST
0 - 5
GER
4%
13%
82%
|
37 | 71 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
LTU
1 - 2
CRO
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
SUI
5 - 0
LTU
67%
19%
13%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
LUX
0 - 3
LTU
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
GER
5 - 0
LTU
90%
8%
2%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
NED
4 - 1
LTU
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |