Esteghlal Tehran vs Al-Gharafa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2010 |
EST
1 - 0
PAS
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
AJA
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
EST
0 - 2
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
ALA
1 - 2
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
EST
2 - 0
SMK
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
GHA
4 - 1
SAD
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
WAK
1 - 4
GHA
30%
24%
45%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
GHA
3 - 2
ALA
41%
24%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 2
GHA
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
GHA
1 - 0
UMM
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |