Estarreja vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estarreja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 2
EST
70%
19%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ANA
4 - 4
EST
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
CIN
33%
24%
42%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 0
EST
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
EST
1 - 5
CIN
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LUS
3 - 2
ANA
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 0
LUS
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 0
LUS
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
LUS
23%
25%
52%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
5 - 0
LUS
25%
24%
52%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -2 |