Estanciano vs Independente SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
SDJ
0 - 3
EST
27%
21%
52%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
EST
1 - 1
BOQ
65%
19%
17%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 1
EST
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
EST
3 - 0
ABS
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
DOR
3 - 1
EST
52%
22%
27%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Independente SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
INS
4 - 0
SDJ
20%
20%
61%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
BOQ
2 - 1
INS
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
INS
0 - 1
OSE
20%
21%
59%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | -1 |