Estación vs Balconada B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+166%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PAL
4 - 4
EST
53%
20%
27%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
EST
5 - 0
VTO
41%
21%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
EST
1 - 2
BSY
40%
22%
38%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
EST
71%
15%
14%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
PAB
5 - 0
EST
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Balconada B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
5 - 5
CAR
25%
19%
56%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CIV
5 - 4
BAL
69%
16%
16%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 4
FRU
45%
21%
34%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GAF
5 - 1
BAL
54%
19%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 5
SLM
44%
19%
37%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |