Estación Central vs Tomás Greig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estación Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
EST
0 - 0
BDS
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
LAU
4 - 2
EST
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
EST
2 - 2
DLI
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
EST
0 - 0
FVC
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
ACC
0 - 1
EST
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
TOM
2 - 0
ACC
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
JOA
5 - 2
TOM
61%
20%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
TOM
5 - 0
CHI
75%
15%
10%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
LIM
1 - 1
TOM
24%
22%
54%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
TOM
4 - 0
MEJ
63%
19%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |