Essendon Royals vs Whittlesea Zebras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Essendon Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
SWE
1 - 2
ESR
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2007 |
ESR
2 - 2
COE
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
ALM
3 - 2
ESR
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
ESR
2 - 1
FAB
66%
19%
14%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 1
ESR
85%
11%
4%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Whittlesea Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2007 |
WHZ
3 - 2
SOU
11%
21%
68%
|
22 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
HEU
2 - 2
WHZ
88%
9%
4%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2007 |
WHZ
1 - 0
SGC
11%
18%
71%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | +4 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
WES
0 - 1
WHZ
84%
12%
5%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2007 |
WHZ
0 - 1
KIN
60%
21%
19%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |