Essendon Royals vs Richmond analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Essendon Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
SOU
0 - 0
ESR
86%
11%
4%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
ESR
0 - 1
HEU
15%
21%
64%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
SGC
4 - 1
ESR
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
WES
3 - 2
ESR
79%
15%
7%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2007 |
ESR
2 - 2
KIN
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2007 |
RIC
7 - 0
SWE
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
SOU
0 - 1
RIC
85%
11%
4%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | +2 |
| 22 Jun. 2007 |
RIC
1 - 2
COE
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2007 |
RIC
2 - 1
HEU
17%
21%
62%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +4 |
| 11 Jun. 2007 |
ALM
2 - 1
RIC
43%
25%
33%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |