Essendon Royals vs Preston Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
68.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Essendon Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
KIN
3 - 2
ESR
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
ESR
0 - 1
WES
21%
25%
54%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
FAB
1 - 0
ESR
35%
26%
40%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
ESR
0 - 1
MEL
10%
18%
72%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2007 |
OAK
0 - 0
ESR
73%
17%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Preston Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
PLI
2 - 1
GRE
59%
24%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
OAK
0 - 1
PLI
27%
26%
48%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
PLI
1 - 1
KIN
81%
14%
5%
|
56 | 24 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
RIC
1 - 2
PLI
13%
21%
65%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | +4 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
WHZ
1 - 1
PLI
12%
21%
66%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |