Essendon Royals vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
71.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Essendon Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2007 |
OAK
0 - 0
ESR
73%
17%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2007 |
ESR
1 - 1
GRE
16%
22%
62%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | +3 |
| 13 Jul. 2007 |
ESR
1 - 0
RIC
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
SOU
0 - 0
ESR
86%
11%
4%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
ESR
0 - 1
HEU
15%
21%
64%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 2
SOU
48%
27%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
HEU
0 - 1
MEL
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
WES
0 - 5
MEL
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 0
KIN
83%
12%
4%
|
51 | 18 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
PLI
2 - 0
MEL
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |