Essendon Royals vs Green Gully Cavaliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
62%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Essendon Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2007 |
ESR
1 - 0
RIC
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
SOU
0 - 0
ESR
86%
11%
4%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
ESR
0 - 1
HEU
15%
21%
64%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
SGC
4 - 1
ESR
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
WES
3 - 2
ESR
79%
15%
7%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 0
SOU
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
HEU
2 - 2
GRE
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 1
SGC
59%
22%
20%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
WES
1 - 1
GRE
45%
26%
30%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
KIN
0 - 1
GRE
14%
22%
64%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |