Essendon Royals vs Fawkner Blues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Essendon Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 1
ESR
85%
11%
4%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
ESR
0 - 3
OAK
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -4 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 3
ESR
82%
13%
5%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2007 |
RIC
1 - 2
ESR
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
ESR
0 - 2
SOU
17%
24%
59%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | -1 |
Matches
Fawkner Blues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
FAB
0 - 0
SOU
9%
19%
72%
|
17 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
HEU
1 - 1
FAB
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
FAB
0 - 1
SGC
7%
16%
77%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
WES
1 - 1
FAB
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 55 | 35 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
FAB
2 - 0
KIN
40%
25%
35%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |