TSV Essen-West 81 vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
75%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Essen-West 81
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FCR
4 - 0
TEW
88%
9%
3%
|
12 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TEW
3 - 4
SSV
36%
23%
42%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SSN
4 - 3
TEW
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
TEW
1 - 1
DAK
33%
23%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
DUS
1 - 1
TEW
76%
14%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SFB
4 - 1
NIE
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BOL
0 - 2
SFB
12%
17%
71%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SFB
2 - 2
VFL
85%
10%
5%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
WUL
2 - 5
SFB
27%
22%
51%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
FCR
1 - 3
SFB
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | +2 |