TSV Essen-West 81 vs VfL Benrath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
34.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Essen-West 81
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TEW
1 - 4
SFB
9%
16%
75%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FCR
4 - 0
TEW
88%
9%
3%
|
12 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TEW
3 - 4
SSV
36%
23%
42%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SSN
4 - 3
TEW
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
TEW
1 - 1
DAK
33%
23%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Benrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NIE
4 - 2
VFL
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BOL
7 - 1
VFL
47%
22%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
WUL
5 - 2
VFL
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SFB
2 - 2
VFL
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
FCR
0 - 2
VFL
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 47 | 35 | +2 |