Esse IK vs VPV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esse IK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NYK
1 - 1
EIR
11%
15%
74%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
EIR
2 - 0
KPV
61%
18%
21%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 1
EIR
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
EIR
2 - 6
KFF
52%
19%
28%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
SIF
1 - 1
EIR
34%
21%
45%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
VPV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
VPV
4 - 0
JAR
15%
17%
68%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
VPS
9 - 0
VPV
88%
8%
4%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
VPV
0 - 6
SPO
10%
14%
76%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SJJ
11 - 0
VPV
91%
7%
3%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
NKR
0 - 0
VPV
46%
21%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |