Tupy vs Doze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
61.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
ECT
76%
14%
9%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ECT
2 - 0
REA
9%
17%
74%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 1
ECT
80%
14%
6%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Doze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DOZ
0 - 2
ITA
24%
23%
52%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
DOZ
3 - 1
RIO
14%
19%
67%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +6 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
REA
1 - 2
DOZ
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
DOZ
73%
17%
9%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
DOZ
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |