Espoir Mutimbuzi vs Flamengo Ngagara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoir Mutimbuzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
PRI
1 - 0
ESM
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
ROY
1 - 2
ESM
49%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
USP
1 - 1
ESM
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
ESM
1 - 1
TCH
44%
27%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2012 |
INT
2 - 0
ESM
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo Ngagara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MUZ
1 - 0
FLA
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 1
KFC
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 0
FLA
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
LLB
6 - 1
FLA
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
ROY
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |