Espinho vs Valadares Gaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ESP
2 - 1
ALV
73%
18%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
GON
1 - 1
ESP
43%
27%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 1
ESP
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ESP
2 - 0
GOU
80%
14%
7%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
COI
0 - 5
ESP
73%
19%
8%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | +3 |
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 0
GON
31%
28%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 1
VAL
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 2
SAL
21%
26%
53%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 0
COI
12%
23%
65%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
GON
2 - 1
VAL
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |