Espinho vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
49.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
ESP
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 1
RDA
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 0
GAF
60%
22%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
LUS
0 - 0
ESP
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
CES
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
UNM
0 - 0
AMA
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 0
UNM
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
UNM
16%
23%
62%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
UNM
2 - 0
SPO
90%
8%
2%
|
55 | 11 | 44 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
RDA
2 - 1
UNM
13%
22%
66%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |