Espinho vs Vila Cortez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.7%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
11%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
ESP
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 0
RDA
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 0
ESP
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 0
VAL
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Cortez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
VCO
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
VCO
1 - 3
LUS
14%
19%
67%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BMA
3 - 0
VCO
91%
7%
2%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 3
SAO
8%
15%
77%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 6
ANA
7%
14%
78%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | -2 |