Espinho U15 vs Penafiel U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
49.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
4º
9º
8º
15
7º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
FEI
3 - 0
ESP
86%
10%
5%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ESP
0 - 3
PAÇ
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TBR
3 - 0
ESP
86%
9%
4%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ESP
0 - 0
SAL
25%
21%
54%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ESP
0 - 3
BOA
9%
14%
78%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 7
BOA
11%
16%
73%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
POR
7 - 1
PEN
94%
5%
1%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
AVC
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VBF
1 - 0
PEN
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
3 - 1
PEN
48%
22%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |