Espinho U19 vs Sousense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
9º
8º
16
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FEI
3 - 0
ESP
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ESP
2 - 0
LAM
82%
11%
6%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NOG
2 - 3
ESP
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ESP
0 - 1
LEX
26%
21%
54%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 0
ESP
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sousense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 4
LUS
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 2
FEI
35%
23%
43%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 1
SOU
73%
15%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SOU
3 - 3
LAM
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
5 - 1
SOU
41%
21%
38%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |