Espinho U19 vs Padroense FC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
30.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
6º
2º
15
6º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 27 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 26 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 25 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 24 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
ESP
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
NOG
0 - 1
ESP
76%
15%
10%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ESP
3 - 0
PEN
37%
22%
41%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 3
SOU
35%
22%
44%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LEX
3 - 0
ESP
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Padroense FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PAD
4 - 5
SOU
45%
21%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 5
LEX
29%
21%
50%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LAM
1 - 2
PAD
11%
16%
74%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
PAD
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 0
VAL
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |