Sporting de Murcia vs CD Alberca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 3
ESP
61%
20%
19%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
ESP
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 3
BLA
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 3
ESP
28%
23%
50%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 3
LFC
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alberca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 2
BLA
45%
22%
33%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
ALB
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ALB
2 - 3
LFC
11%
17%
71%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ESP
4 - 2
ALB
61%
20%
19%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 4
MIN
12%
18%
70%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |