El Espinar-San Rafael vs Sporting Nava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
19.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+148%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Espinar-San Rafael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
ESR
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ESR
0 - 0
MON
32%
20%
48%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 4
ESR
25%
20%
54%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 1
ESR
21%
20%
59%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ESR
3 - 2
SLO
58%
18%
23%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Nava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ASU
3 - 1
CAN
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 2
ASU
40%
22%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ASU
2 - 4
RSI
28%
21%
51%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LAS
3 - 2
ASU
56%
20%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ASU
4 - 1
VAL
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |