Espigão vs Vilhena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espigão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 1
ROL
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 0
ESP
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 0
VIL
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ESP
8 - 1
CRU
79%
14%
8%
|
33 | 7 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 1
ARI
50%
23%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 0
ARI
55%
21%
23%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 3
AVA
10%
19%
71%
|
39 | 76 | 37 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 0
NAU
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
MIX
1 - 0
VIL
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 1
VIL
29%
27%
44%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |