Esperanza vs Thader Murcia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ESP
3 - 1
MAZ
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PIN
1 - 6
ESP
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
3 - 0
GUA
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CIE
0 - 3
ESP
25%
25%
50%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 0
CUA
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Thader Murcia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
THA
4 - 1
LOR
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MAZ
0 - 0
THA
43%
25%
33%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
THA
2 - 2
ZAR
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PIN
3 - 5
THA
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
THA
2 - 4
EGP
50%
24%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |