Esperanza vs Puerto Serrano Atco. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FLO
1 - 2
ESP
21%
24%
55%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 1
JUV
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PRA
1 - 2
ESP
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 2
ATL
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 1
ESP
28%
23%
49%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Serrano Atco.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
CAN
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FLO
1 - 1
PUE
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PUE
5 - 2
JUV
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PRA
0 - 2
PUE
15%
19%
65%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PUE
6 - 0
ATL
58%
20%
22%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +2 |