Esperanza Pelt vs Wezel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
6º
15º
15º
20
2º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza Pelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
HOU
3 - 1
ESP
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ESP
2 - 0
BED
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 1
KVV
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
EEN
3 - 1
ESP
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 2
STT
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Wezel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LIL
3 - 2
WEZ
42%
23%
35%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
WEZ
1 - 2
HOU
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
WEZ
0 - 2
BED
45%
23%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
KVV
3 - 3
WEZ
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
WEZ
0 - 5
EEN
23%
22%
54%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |