Esperanza Pelt vs Bocholter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
6º
15º
15º
31
5º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza Pelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
EEN
3 - 1
ESP
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 2
STT
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
RUP
2 - 0
ESP
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 1
DIE
27%
25%
49%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BED
1 - 0
ESP
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bocholter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
KVV
3 - 3
WEZ
56%
21%
23%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
KVV
1 - 1
DIE
40%
25%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
EEN
6 - 1
KVV
55%
22%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
KVV
3 - 0
MEC
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 2
KVV
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |