Esperanza Pelt vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
67.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza Pelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HOU
2 - 2
ESP
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 3
ESP
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ESP
3 - 2
GBA
45%
22%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 3
KAM
67%
18%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
EEN
2 - 0
ESP
69%
19%
13%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KVV
3 - 3
EXC
7%
13%
81%
|
57 | 16 | 41 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
EXC
3 - 1
KRC
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
STL
1 - 1
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DEI
3 - 1
EXC
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |