Esperanza Macarena vs Peña Compadres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza Macarena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 2
ESP
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ESP
4 - 2
AZN
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 2
AND
47%
24%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 2
ESP
12%
19%
69%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 0
CLA
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Compadres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 0
CDC
71%
16%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
PEN
4 - 3
VAL
58%
21%
22%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
ATH
1 - 0
PEN
46%
22%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ANA
4 - 0
PEN
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
PEN
4 - 2
CFA
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |