Esperanza Macarena vs Círculo Don Bosco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza Macarena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
ESP
21%
22%
57%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ESP
3 - 1
SAN
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
PIL
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 0
ESP
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 1
ESC
82%
12%
5%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Círculo Don Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CIR
3 - 3
PAL
44%
23%
33%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ESC
2 - 2
CIR
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CIR
1 - 2
VIS
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LOS
4 - 0
CIR
58%
22%
21%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
CIR
14%
20%
66%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |