ES Tunis vs Etoile Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
1º
1º
9
5º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
23 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 14 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 12 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 11 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 10 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 6 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
OCK
2 - 1
ESP
10%
18%
72%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
STA
2 - 0
ESP
44%
30%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 1
CSS
57%
27%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 1
ESP
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 0
SUN
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 0
USM
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 0
CLU
45%
29%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ESB
0 - 1
ETO
10%
18%
72%
|
67 | 23 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CSS
0 - 0
ETO
40%
31%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
ETO
51%
28%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |