CAF Champions League Last 16
Global 7-2
ES Tunis vs AS Faso/Yennenga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
7.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ESP
0 - 0
ETO
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CSS
1 - 3
ESP
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 0
USM
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 2
EAS
79%
14%
8%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LAN
1 - 0
ESP
34%
30%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AS Faso/Yennenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ASF
4 - 1
SMA
66%
20%
15%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SMA
0 - 2
ASF
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
ASF
3 - 0
USF
49%
24%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2009 |
ASF
4 - 1
USF
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
ASF
2 - 0
USC
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |