CAF Champions League Last 16
Global 5-2
ES Tunis vs ASPAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.7%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9.9%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.1%
2.1%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ETO
5 - 1
ESP
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
CSH
0 - 1
ESP
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 1
ASD
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
GAB
2 - 1
ESP
33%
30%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 0
BEN
86%
10%
4%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
DMO
1 - 1
ASP
79%
14%
6%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ASP
1 - 0
DMO
15%
21%
64%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
ASP
1 - 0
SEM
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ASP
2 - 1
CIF
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
AVR
2 - 0
ASP
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |